Sky, BBC and ITV all have their own versions - which have proven to be very accurate.

The nation was stunned - as was PM May, in 2017 - with a high number of lost seats predicted for the Conservatives.

Less than half a minute after the polls closed - and hotly disputed by many. But later proved to be uncannily accurate.


Polling modus operandi is simple. Pollsters attend about 140 polling stations, and approach 180 voters (thereabouts) - usually around every 15th, or so; this is to avoid groups of similar voters.

The individual is asked to mark his/her decisions on a mock voting paper, and to insert it in a designated box; these boxes are collected during the day.

As history has shown, for example, that Labour voters visit polling stations later than Conservative ones. The last boxes are collected 20 minutes before the polls close.


Thus 25,000+ voters have been involved - and past exit polls have confirmed that voters, almost always, provide accurate data.

UK is one of the most accurate countries for exit polls - helped by its first past the post voting system. PR makes things a lot more difficult for pollsters.

So - soon after 10pm, this coming Thursday - the nation will probably know its future. And be able to contemplate it in bed - instead of having to watch TV all night.

Bolivia has an excellent, sort of "exit poll" which accurately predicts the election results and which recently confirmed that the popular Evo Morales had yet again won the election.

Hence a CIA backed coup whereby the head of the Bolivian Army suggested Morales should resign and after Morale's sister's house was burnt down he sensibly resigned and via a circuitous route took up an offer to flee to Mexico.

The fact he was basically nationalizing the sale of valuable Lithium for the benefit of Bolivian citizens is entirely co-incidental and it was announced, as some right wing dame declared herself president that there hadn't been a coup in Bolivia just a change of government.

We in the West are far more sophisticated as over a million electors are being removed from the poll in Florida and UK Labour has (ludicrously) been accused of anti-semitism by a vicious right wing racist media.

Will it work?. Probably.

Barney wrote:
Sky, BBC and ITV all have their own versions

In fact, the three organisations have one joint exit poll...