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Topic History of: Tories open 9 point lead over Labour
Max. showing the last 5 posts - (Last post first)

Author	Message
In The Know	LABOUR (PAID UP) MEMBERSHIP IN 1997 = 407,000 .... TODAY 200,000 That's quite alot who didn't like Blair and did something about it !
Richard Ely	Thing is, ITK, the Labour Party is much more nervous about ditching an unpopular leader than the Tory Party is. This is even more the case when the Party is in government. Hard to believe, but Harold Wilson was considerably less popular in the late 60s than Blair is now. It would take a major scandal for the parliamentary party to unseat Blair; so, unfortunately, it looks like he'll be able to choose the time of his own departure. I would, of course, love to be proved wrong!
In The Know (sometimes)	There's about 400 Labour MPs who are hoping that you are wrong ! They won;t have a single seat left !!
Richard Ely	Here's the future as I see it: Christmas, 2008: Tony Blair resigns. Februrary, 2009: Acting PM Gordon Brown comfortably defeats John Reid to become Labour leader and PM. June 2010: Labour re-elected with a reduced majority of 15 (approx). David Cameron stares down any attempts to unseat him. 2015: Tory landslide in general election: almost eighteen years to the day of Labour's 1997 landslide.
In The Know	The Tories will have yet another leader by the next election ! and I wouldn't entirely rule out a comeback by Charles Kennedy either ! as for Labour .... what's the voting on John Reid being a "surprise" contender?