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TOPIC: Tories win in Newark
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Re:Tories win in Newark 11 Years, 1 Month ago
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As it stands now, June 2014, I can see the following happening in 1 years time
.....and this depends upon Cameron, Milliband and Clegg being in their jobs in a years time
- Straight fight Con / Lab
- Lib get trouned
- North / South / Scotland split
- UKIP make maybe 5 seats in the strong Euro Elec areas
To change this prediction, it would need Milliband and Clegg to go before September, the Scotland Independence vote would need to be a YES
Then maybe fresh Lab blood might steal a few votes and seats, fresh Lib blood might break from the 2010 election and try to have a fresh start and agenda away from coalition, and the Scottish independence YES result might actually shock a few Scots to ask for a re-count or another go at getting a NO vote 
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Re:Tories win in Newark 11 Years, 1 Month ago
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steveimp wrote:
In The Know wrote:
A very respectable result.
Those who say UKIP did well and couldn't overturn such a 'safe' seat FAIL to. Notice that they did win in the. euro election in the same seat - but when it matters people return to a known (and winning) quantity.
UKIP were nothing more than a protest blip - and will sink without trace next May
The Newark Euro constituency is rather different to the parliamentary one, indeed a lot of 'new' Newark goes into Kenneth Clarke true blue territory in Rushcliffe.
Labour got in there during the days where parts of 'red' Retford were included in the area.
Well spotted Steve,ITK does have a habit of being 'creative; with official facts...but we still love him none the less
en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Newark_(UK_Parliament_constituency)
It has been Labour twice from 1950 to 1979,and again in the landslide of 1997.
UKIP are the only party to have a real size increase in vote from 2010.
Their vote was up over 500% from 1,954 to 10,028.
By a strange contrast the Liberal meltdown went almost the opposite way.
10,028 in 2010 to 1,004 in 2014.
The Tories are the real winners,their vote has held steady,Labour are run by an oh so clever geek,who has never lived in the real world,hence why with all the things that could go for them,he's not aware of what the public want.A simple guarantee of a EU referendum would see him as PM for sure.
UKIP will ride the public popularity stakes best,but under our electoral system will get few gains next year in the commons.Expect them to win in Europe,and in the council elections.
The real losers are the Libs! UKIP support will unlikely go to them,wipeout beckons.
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Re:Tories win in Newark 11 Years, 1 Month ago
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In The Know wrote:
A very respectable result.
Those who say UKIP did well and couldn't overturn such a 'safe' seat FAIL to. Notice that they did win in the. euro election in the same seat - but when it matters people return to a known (and winning) quantity.
UKIP were nothing more than a protest blip - and will sink without trace next May
Have we found the new coalition partners for the Tories?
'In a council by-election earlier this year in Newark, the Lib Dems received fewer votes than a candidate representing the Bus Pass Elvis Party.'
www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-politics-27728784
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Re:Tories win in Newark 11 Years, 1 Month ago
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Ooopps ... forgot the link !
UKIP may be forced into a U-turn and join with Marine Le Pen’s National Front party if it hopes to have any power in Europe, it emerged last night.
The warning comes as it was revealed that the Ukip MEP Godfrey Bloom had spoken to Le Pen and assured her that in the UK "hardly anyone knows what anti-Semitic means".
www.express.co.uk/news/uk/480999/EXCLUSI...-gain-European-power
I told you they were all weird !
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Re:Tories win in Newark 11 Years, 1 Month ago
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Pattaya wrote:
The French NF are nothing like the British version.
... should that comment be followed by the word ....fortunately ?
Mainstream politicians regard the FN as a classic party of the nationalist extreme, exploiting economic distress to whip up hatred of the outsider, the immigrant.
And in the UK, Nigel Farage of UKIP says he will never go into alliance with Marine Le Pen because of her party's "nasty, anti-Semitic past".
www.bbc.co.uk/news/blogs-eu-27625501
... but Nigel's representatives have started negotiating with them, just to be on the safe side LOL !
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Re:Tories win in Newark 11 Years, 1 Month ago
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Pattaya wrote:
The French NF are nothing like the British version.
and ...
just in case you still haven't got the message -
www.bbc.co.uk/news/world-europe-27761534
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