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TOPIC: is it War !
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Re:is it War ! 2 Weeks ago
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JK2006 wrote:
I'm afraid I'm one of those who do NOT think there is a war coming. Any fight, if it does come, will be cyber and concern systems being hacked and shut off, not bombs and soldiers and tanks. I think the Russian people do not want war. Ditto Palestinians and Israelis. I think, like Covid, this is media inflated hype - it's a great story. Nuclear war? No way.
It doesn't matter what the Russian people want though does it. I agree they probably don't, but in the face of Putin they are helpless passengers until they try and grab the wheel and run him off the road.
Wyot was correct in the first line of his first comment. I've had this conversation recently to family, we seem to cocoon oursleves nowadays that something very bad like a wider war could not possibly happen to our nice Western European countries again. But why think like that? Don't you think people here in the mid thirties and even 1938 thought there was no chance of another catastrophe, many easily recalling the Great War of only 20 years earlier with all that pointless carnage. Yet it did happen again and even worse and for even longer. That's without the possibility on top of simple miscalculation leading to a chain reaction of events.
This kind of old style carnage in Ukraine was not supposed to happen again but has been doing so for three years now, and there is only one person responsible for that and any further carnage and that person does not wear orange make-up like Hedda says, he lives in the Kremlin and his dozens of dachas and his name is VLADIMIR VLADIMIROVIC PUTIN.
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Re:is it War ! 2 Weeks ago
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JK2006 wrote:
Perhaps I'm too cynical about media coverage (inflating and exaggerating everything) and the simplification of everything (orange makeup). Putin and even Trump may be gone soon. Perhaps neither wants war. I think we should be concentrating on humanity - specifically in Gaza and the Rohingya - instead of imaginary panic and monsters.
Tell that to the residents (if many are left) of Mariupol!
Our problem in the West, and especially here in Europe is our leaders believed in the so called "peace dividend" after the Berlin Wall came down and the USSR was dismantled in the early 90's. We should never have let our guard down and become so complacent and unable to see what Russia may have been in the 90's was not what Russia may be later on over the horizon coming.
Our real enemy may yet be coming for us, and that's China. Many consider Putin's Russia a paper tiger. I'm reminded of a film the late John Pilger did a few years ago where he pointed the Chinese threat out and mentioned the coming war with China and the USA and he wasn't talking cyber. I think Trump sees China as a major threat to the United States and the West far worse than Russia. So what would Trump do if they invade Taiwan?
The Coming War On China? - John Pilger (2016) - youtu.be/V42KtSeo3uI?si=2bnaSF9nvzeCbObR
Within the last hour I have just seen a massive American B-52 bomber flying close by the area I live at about 10,000 feet, and looked it up on Flightradar24 to see it left RAF Fairford for a trip to the Baltic where it circled off the coast of those three countries, Lithuania, Latvia and Estonia without landing before heading back to base in the UK. I have never seen a B-52 like that before nearby overhead. I've seen comment elsewhere that since Trump took office these bombers are arriving at bases like Fairford.
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Re:is it War ! 1 Week, 6 Days ago
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Rich wrote:
[quote] JK2006 wrote:
Our real enemy may yet be coming for us, and that's China. Many consider Putin's Russia a paper tiger. I'm reminded of a film the late John Pilger did a few years ago where he pointed the Chinese threat out and mentioned the coming war with China and the USA and he wasn't talking cyber. I think Trump sees China as a major threat to the United States and the West far worse than Russia. So what would Trump do if they invade Taiwan?
The Coming War On China? - John Pilger (2016) - youtu.be/V42KtSeo3uI?si=2bnaSF9nvzeCbObR
Should we worry here in Oz and risk being caught in the middle?
Near Darwin there is now a huge US military base yet a previous government recently sold the Port of Darwin to China.
Then there is the US top secret spy facility Pine Gap in the middle of the desert from which every US military action worldwide is directed from.
Ideally located as the massive land mass surrounding it renders it impenetrable but it would be a prime military target and could be taken out with a nuclear weapon (mind you the UK atom bombed these areas in the 50s)
People here seem to think we are somehow safe via distance yet the Japanese succeeded in bombing Darwin to smithereens in WW2 and even made it into Sydney Harbour with midget subs and bombed several areas including a street not too far from me.
Of course modern warfare may be very different.
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Re:is it War ! 1 Week, 6 Days ago
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Downing Street Cat wrote:
Trump promises massive sanctions on Russia if they keep pounding Ukraine. He tells Russia to get to the table. Credit to Trump.
Perhaps he should slap 100% Tariffs on Russia. The trouble is that we don't want much that comes out of Russia do we, they produce very little of any worth. But if Putin reciprocated with American/Western imports then surely that would seriously hurt Russia, even if it burnt us a bit.
Maybe Trump has seen the latest polls out this week seeing his figures going negative for the first time in ages and since he was re-elected. Even his MAGA voters won't want to see America looking weak in the face of Russia, no matter what the cost is financially. Making America Great Again doesn't mean reducing it's superpower status does it.
Hedda, never heard of Pine Gap, interesting. I do know that Cyclone Alfred is about to hit and Brisbane Airport was shut a few hours ago to all air traffic. When people in Europe talk of nuclear war and safe places to go they always mention Australia and even more so New Zealand, but the truth is nowhere would be safe, even if you avoided a direct hit or a nearby one, the fallout would be global anyway.
I recommend listening to Rory Stewart talking on his podcast. I've disliked much of what he has said these past 5 years and found him insufferable, but credit where it is due, this was extremely good analysis of Putin as he tries to work out what would happen in various outcomes, none of which appear very appetising because in the end Putin can never and should never be trusted on anything.
The Rest Is Politics - US Slashes Aid, Rory Breaks Down The 3 Possible Outcomes.
youtu.be/xfccsaSaqFY?si=UHdur2xXtXsEiwQK
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