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1 in 400 of us (probably) has or has had COVID-19
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TOPIC: 1 in 400 of us (probably) has or has had COVID-19
#198714
Dr Feeloff

1 in 400 of us (probably) has or has had COVID-19 1 Week, 6 Days ago  
BBC Report: www.bbc.co.uk/news/health-52662066

This staggeringly reassuring news proves that the lockdown and social distancing has prevented the spread of COVID-19. Fingers crossed that all the frantic research into vaccines will be successful and allow us all to be inoculated, hopefully within months. Thankfully, we shall never know that if the other 399 in every 400 of us had been infected, how many would have died.

Some facts:

* The current number of deaths in the U.K. stands at 35,431.
* The death rate for this time of year is more than double what it should normally be, in spite of the lockdown
* Sweden's lack of a lockdown has resulted in 16 times as many deaths as its neighbour Norway, even though its population is only double.


Conclusion:

* Lockdown works
* Social distancing works
* Restrictive measures will stay in place until a vaccine is found and made widely available
* All of the above is true in spite of whatever the media says
* Keep a sceptical frame of mind, look at raw facts, and don't be swayed by a hyperbolic media.
 
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#198715
wyot

Re:1 in 400 of us (probably) has or has had COVID-19 1 Week, 6 Days ago  
The number of us infected or not tells us nothing more on its own than the number of us infected or not.
 
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#198721
wjlmarsh

Re:1 in 400 of us (probably) has or has had COVID-19 1 Week, 6 Days ago  
Just to note I have already highlighted that there were and I would say many more questions than answers. Almost all european countries went into lock down yet France, Spain, UK, Belgium, Italy plus some others all countries connected land wise or Eurotunnel wise, initially lead the world in deaths due to Covid 19 does not confirm or not confirm lockdown.

In normal statistics it would say UK death rate shows lockdown didn't work at all. But as this is a highly contagious virus and the story hasn't finished, maybe it could of been worst. It is a case of wait and see. Sweden vs Norway may have merit. No idea as much of the results as yet do not make sense.

I did look at the criteria of this 1 in 400. It does appear to a sample taken at a point in time. Who is to know prior to sample that many more had been infected and are in fact immune and thus in the sample are never infected and infact are on the other side. This test I gather was not taken with an antibody test. There is a lot of fumbling around trying to understand. Not blaming anyone just see that there is a lot unknown still and lots to learn re this virus and viruses in general. Good news is most have their own immune system that overcomes the Covid 19. Unlike some other viruses.
 
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#198722
Dr Feeloff

Re:1 in 400 of us (probably) has or has had COVID-19 1 Week, 6 Days ago  
In the final analysis, the conclusion will be drawn by adding up the total number of deaths reportedly from the virus and expressing that as a percentage of the whole population for each country, and then comparing it with the same ratios for deaths from all causes. I can imagine some of the conclusions being drawn will vary from being that lockdowns worked, to lockdowns caused more deaths from non-VOVID related conditions not being treated effectively in time. The truth will be somewhere in the middle, as it always is.
 
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#198731
Green Man

Re:1 in 400 of us (probably) has or has had COVID-19 1 Week, 6 Days ago  
wyot wrote:
The number of us infected or not tells us nothing more on its own than the number of us infected or not..

So basically it's just a flu. Mr King is right.
 
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#198739
wyot

Re:1 in 400 of us (probably) has or has had COVID-19 1 Week, 6 Days ago  
Green Man wrote:
wyot wrote:
The number of us infected or not tells us nothing more on its own than the number of us infected or not..

So basically it's just a flu. Mr King is right.


Nope, it does not follow from my comment that "it's just life flu.".

How on earth did you arrive there from my comment?!
 
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